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EUR/USD will revisit 1.2043 – Rabobank
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Rabobank Research Team, notes that EUR/USD will revisit the 2012 low at 1.2043 on the back of monetary policy divergence between the ECB and the Fed.
Key Quotes
“It would be difficult to find a person who does not now expect the ECB to announce a full scale QE next year, but just in case if there is anyone with such doubts, the message from Vice President Constancio delivered yesterday was crystal clear: “we will have to consider buying other assets, including sovereign bonds in the secondary market, the bulkier and more liquid market of securities available” should the easing measures implemented so far prove insufficient to boost the balance sheet.”
“While Rabobank’s baseline scenario assumes that EUR/USD will revisit the 2012 low at 1.2043 on the back of monetary policy divergence between the ECB and the Fed, the euro managed to find an important short-term bottom at 1.2360~. The 1.2600~ offers key resistance at this stage. While a break higher would leave the EUR/USD bears vulnerable to a short-term squeeze, selling into such rallies is still a favourable strategy.”
“Elsewhere, USD/JPY is off from the year-to-date high at 118.98 as traders opted to book profits following impressive gains fuelled by a fresh dose of BoJ stimulus. However, we expect the underlying upside trend in USD/JPY is set to remain intact. “
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news … 3766f03991
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