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Lesson 28: Market Mysteries: Support and Resistance
What are Support and Resistance?
These are specific price levels on charts that seem to act as barriers, where the price of a currency pair stops and may change direction.
Support: This is a price level where the currency tends to stop falling and might bounce back up. It's a level below which traders typically won't let the price fall. Imagine a floor where a bouncing ball (the price) hits and bounces back up. That's your support level. You create a support line by drawing a line from one low point in the price series to another. When this line is broken, it's a significant event, signaling that the trend might be changing. It's like a psychological barrier where traders feel it's a good value to buy, so the demand increases, stopping the price from falling further.
Resistance: This is the opposite. This is a level where the currency tends to stop rising. It's a price level where selling is strong enough to stop the price from rising any further. It's a level above which traders are unlikely to push the price. A resistance line is drawn by connecting high points in the price series. Knowing where this line is can help you set realistic profit targets. Think of it as a ceiling that the ball can't break through. Here, traders often feel it's a good time to sell, increasing the supply and stopping the price from rising further.
Why are Support and Resistance Important?
*They help traders predict where the price is likely to pause or reverse.
*These levels can suggest good points to enter or exit a trade.
*By understanding these levels, traders can set better stop-losses and take-profits.
How to Identify These Levels
*Look at past price movements. Where did the price stop and change direction? These points can become future support or resistance.
*Sometimes, prices stop around round numbers like 1.3000 or 1.2500. Traders often place orders at these levels, making them potential support or resistance zones.
*By connecting the highs and lows on a chart, you can identify potential diagonal support or resistance levels. Draw straight lines connecting highs or lows on a chart. These lines can act as diagonal support or resistance.
The Psychology Behind It
Support and resistance work because they reflect the collective memory and actions of traders. If traders remember that a currency pair stopped rising at a certain level before, they might be hesitant to buy above that level again, creating resistance. The same goes for support levels.
Horizontal vs. Diagonal Lines
Horizontal Lines are drawn across relative highs or lows. They're useful when prices are moving sideways, within a range.
Diagonal Lines connect a series of rising lows or falling highs, indicating the trend's direction.
Using Support and Resistance
*Look for Confirmations. Before trading, see if the price respects these levels. For example, if the price approaches support and starts rising, it's a sign of strength.
*Combine with Other Indicators. Use support and resistance along with other technical indicators for a more complete analysis.
*Remember, They're Zones. These levels are not exact. They're more like zones where the price may stop and reverse.
*Stay Flexible, be prepared to adjust your understanding of these levels as new price data comes in.
So, support and Resistance are essential tools in a Forex trader's toolkit. They help in understanding market movements and in making informed trading decisions. While they're based on trader psychology and past price movements, remember that they're not always perfect. Use them wisely along with other trading strategies for the best results.
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